Video Summary

In a surprising turn of events, Donald Trump has taken the lead in the 2024 presidential election according to betting odds from Bet 365. The forecast shows Trump has a significant advantage in several states, including Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, North Dakota, and South Dakota, where he has an implied probability of winning ranging from 95% to 99.8%. These states combine for a total of 23 votes, giving Trump a 74-23 lead over Kamla Harris.

In the Northeast, Harris is expected to win most of the states, but Trump is expected to take Maine (except for the 2nd congressional district), New Hampshire, and Alaska. Harris, on the other hand, is expected to win in California, Oregon, Washington, and most of the Northeastern states, including Maine's 1st congressional district, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Connecticut, among others.

As the two candidates campaign in the remaining swing states, including Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and Wisconsin, the current map shows a dead tie at 269-269. If the election is tied, the 12th Amendment kicks in, and the House of Representatives would choose the next president, with each state delegation getting one vote. This would likely result in a Republican win, with Trump as the next president.