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In sports betting, understanding unders and overs can be a key to success. Unders and overs account for about 20% of bets, and it's essential to grasp the factors that influence the outcome. Weather, in particular, can significantly impact the number of goals scored. Cold weather typically leads to fewer goals, while hot weather can lead to more. REFEREE decisions can also Influence the outcome of a match, as they can stop play and affect the tempo of the game.

Additionally, key player injuries or suspensions can impact the performance of a team, while certain formations can increase the likelihood of goals being scored. For example, teams that play attacking football are more likely to concede goals. Understanding these factors is crucial for making informed betting decisions.

The concept of Expected Goals (xG) can also be a valuable tool for bettors. xG measures the number of goals a team is expected to score based on the quality of chances created. This metric can be used to identify teams with a greater likelihood of scoring, making them more attractive for bettors.

In terms of betting strategy, it's essential to consider the liquidity of the market, as well as the juice or margin built into the odds. By using Asian handicaps and removing juice from the odds, bettors can gain an edge. The article concludes by encouraging readers to explore websites that provide xG data, such as Football XG, to gain a better understanding of the factors that influence goal scoring in football. By combining this knowledge with a solid understanding of the factors that influence the number of goals scored, bettors can increase their chances of success.