Video Summary

In the world of sports betting, identifying profitable trends can be a game-changer. One strategy that has yielded over $50,000 in profits is focusing on a specific MLB player prop: under 2.5 earned runs by a starting pitcher. To succeed, it's essential to understand earned runs, which occur when a pitcher allows a runner to reach base and eventually score. There's a key distinction between earned and unearned runs, with the latter not counting towards this prop.

To exploit this strategy, start by identifying the most-owned starting pitchers on daily fantasy sports sites like FanDuel and DraftKings. Then, research their performance, specifically noting how often they have thrown under 2.5 earned runs in their games. Compare this to the sportsbook's odds and look for an edge. If your probability is higher than the oddsmakers', you've got your edge, and it's time to bet on under 2.5 earned runs. According to the sportsbook, this strategy is a 60% chance, but analysis shows it's actually a 66.7% chance, giving you a 6.7% edge. By following this strategy, you can squeeze out an advantage and potentially rake in the profits.