Video Summary

As the NFL season approaches, let's take a look at some win total predictions for the upcoming season. Nine teams have been listed with 10+ wins, a number that's likely to surprise few. However, one trend that stands out is the history of underachieving teams with double-digit win totals. Since 1990, only 40.5% (79 out of 195) of teams with double-digit win totals have actually won 10+ games in a season. That's a significant trend to keep in mind.

Consistency of expectations is also key. Teams with consistent success, like the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers, are likely to meet their high expectations. On the other hand, teams with inconsistent play, like the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions, may struggle to meet their lofty expectations.

Looking at the North division, the Packers and Lions are likely to underachieve, while the Minnesota Vikings are a dark horse to overachieve. The Dallas Cowboys, with their tough schedule and questions surrounding Dak Prescott and Amari Cooper, are also likely to underachieve.

In the NFC North, the Bears' strong hype surrounding Caleb Williams, the rookie quarterback, may be overhyped. Since 2002, only one number one pick has won their first start, making the Titans a sneaky underdog candidate against the Bears at +4.5. With the Titans' reTooled offense, backing them as underdogs could be a smart play.