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Here is a 300-word summary of the article on the 2024 US presidential election:

The latest betting odds from poly Market show that Trump is currently leading with 55% to 43% for Harris. However, Harris is slowly gaining ground and may become neck and neck with Trump in the next few weeks. There are 13 states and two congressional districts that are considered “safe” for one party or the other, with Trump winning most of the Western and Southern states. Florida, which is a crucial swing state, is now considered a safe Republican state, as Trump has a strong likelihood of winning with 90% of the bets. On the other hand, Harris is expected to win in the West Coast states, including Hawaii, Washington, and California, as well as in the Midwest and Northeast.

The article highlights the importance of looking at betting markets rather than individual polls, as they average out opinions from those paying close attention to all factors that could influence the outcome of the election. The current election map shows that Trump has a solid lead with 90% or more of the bets in many states, while Harris is expected to win in states with 90% or more of the bets.

Some states with odds between 75% to 90% for either party are considered “likely” states, which could go either way but are difficult to flip. These states include New Mexico, Virginia, and Minnesota, which are all expected to go to Harris. Other states with odds between 60% to 75% are considered “lean” states, which are more likely to go to one party or the other. These states include Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia, which are all expected to go to Trump. Finally, there are three states in the Rust Belt that Harris needs to win in order to take the presidency.